Research

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Publications

Ritznerger, K., J. W. Weibull, and P. Wikman (2025): "Solid Outcomes in Finite Games", Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 224, 2025, 105977, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2025.105977

Levine, D.K. [2025]: "The Evolution of Resilience", Journal of Economic Theory, forthcoming.

Cologna, V., Meiler, S., Kropf, C.M. et al. (2025). Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world. Nat. Clim. Chang., 15, 725-735. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4

Shaver, J.H., Sosis, R., Ross, R. M., Watts,J., Price, M., Wildman, W.J., Hoogeveen, S., McKay, R. T. & Cristofori, I. (2025). Religion's Hilbert problems, ten years later: Progress, pitfalls, and new horizons. Religion, Brain & Behavior, 15(1), 1-3. https://doi.org/10.1080/2153599X.2025.2464354

Mede, N. G., Cologna, V., Berger, S. et al. (2025). Perceptions of science, science communication, and climate change attitudes in 68 countries - the TISP dataset. Scientific Data, 12, 114. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-024-04100-7

Cologna, V., Mede, N. G., Berger, S., et al. (2025). Trust in scientists and their rolein society across 68 countries. Nature Human Behaviour.  https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-024-02090-5

Komosinski, M., Mensfelt, A. 2025. Enhancing Quality-Diversity Optimization Through Domain-Specific Dissimilarity as Crowding Distance. Proceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference. Association for Computing Machinery, NEW York, NY, USA. 898-906. https://doi.org/10.1145/3712256.3726459

Lloyd, A., McKay R. & Furl, N. (2025). Stochastic decisions support optimal foraging of volatile environments, and are disrupted by anxiety. Cognitive, Affective, and Behavioral Neuroscience. https://doi.org/10.3758/s13415-024-01256-y

McKay, R. (2025): 'God, Golf, and the Statistical Brain', International Journal for the Psychology of Religion. doi: 10.1080/10508619.2025.2492914.

Gervais, W.M., McKay, R., Brown-Iannuzzi, J.L., Ross, R.M., Pennycook, G., Jong, J. and Lanman, J.A. (2025). 'Belief in belief: Even atheists in secular countries show intuitive preferences favoring religious belief' Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 122(13). doi:10.1073/pnas.2404720122.

Bagga, P., Paoletti, N. & Stathis, K. (2025). 'Adaptive strategy templates using deep reinforcement learning for multi-issue bilateral negotiation', Neurocomputing, 623, article no: 129381.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2025.129381.

Mensfelt, A., & Stathis K., Trencsenyi, V. (2025). Generative Agents for Multi-Agent Atoformalization of Interaction Scenarios. [Accepted to ECAI2025, preprint https://arxiv.org/pdf/2412.08805v3]

Trencsenyi, V., Mensfelt, A., & Stathis, K. Approximating Human Strategic Reasoning with LLM-Enhanced Recursive Reasoners Leveraging Multi-agent Hypergames. In the 26th International Workshop on Multi-Agent-Based Simulation. https://openreview.net/forum?id=ObyzuYUyln

Trencsenyi, V., Mensfelt, A., & Stathis K. (2025). The influence of human-inspired Agentic Sophistication in LLM-driven Strategic Reasoners. [Accepted to ECAI2025, preprint at https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.09396]

Block, J. I., R. Dutta and D. K. Levine [2025], [Forthcoming]: "Leaders and Social
Norms: On the Emergence of Consensus or Conflict," Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization.

Levine, D. K. and C. Martinelli [2024], [Forthcoming]: "Razor-Thin Mass Elections with High Turnout," International Economic Review.

van de Wouw, D., McKay, R. & Furl, N. (2024). Biased expectations about future choice options predict sequential economic decisions. Communications Psychology, 2, 119. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44271-024-00172-8

Wildman, W.J., Ross, R.M., McKay, R.T., Watts, J., Hoogeveen, S., Sosis, R., ... Shaver, J. (2024). Religion Brain Behavior adopts stricter transparency standards. Religion, Brain & Behavior, 14(4), 341-344. https://doi.org/10.1080/2153599X.2024.2424031

McKay, R., Levy, N., van Elk, M. & Ross, R. M. (in press). From drowning to debunking: The Cognitive Science Science of Religion's role in unravelling religious beliefs. Religion, Brain & Behavior. 

Röseler, L... McKay, R., et al (2024).The Open Anchoring Quest dataset: Anchored estimates from 96 studies on anchoring effects. Journal of Open Psychology Data, 12(8),- 1-3. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5334/jopd.92

McKay, R., Price, M., Ross, R.M., Watts, J., Cristofori, I., Hoogeveen, S., ... Wildman, W. (2024).Replacing the irreplaceable. Religion, Brain & Behavior, 14(2), 111-118. https://doi.org/10.1080/2153599X.2024.2356389

Furl, N., Coltheart, M., & McKay, R. (2024). The paradox of delusions: Are deluded individuals resistant to evidence? In E. Sullivan-Bissett (Ed.) Belief, Imagination, and Delusion (pp240-264) Oxford University Press.

Shahid, N.S., Mensfelt, A. & Stathis, K. (2024). 'Explaining Teleo-reactive Strategic Behaviour', In ICTAI - International Conference on Tools with Artificial Intelligence. IEEE, 28-30 October. IEE Computer Society. pp.905-912. doi:10.1109/ICTAI62512.2024.00131.

Mensfelt, A., Stathis, K., & Trencsenyi, V. (2024). 'Autoformalization of Game Descriptions using Large Language Models', In First International Workshop on Next-Generation Language Models for Knowledge Representation and Reasoning. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2409.12300

Mandler, M. (2024) 'The pure advantage of risk in production', European Economic Review, article no: 104717. doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104717.

Mandler, M. (2024) 'Increasing returns and the efficient acquisition of information', Journal of Economic Theory, 220, article no: 105815. doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2024.105815.

Komosinski, M. and Mensfelt, A. (2024) 'Distance-Targeting Mutation Operator for Evolutionary Design of 3D Structures', In Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference. GECCO, July 14–18, 2024, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. ACM, New York, NY, USA, 9 pages https://doi.org/10.1145/3638529.3654060.

Neary, P., Gerke, S., Gutin, G., Hwang, S., (2024). Public goods in networks with constraints on sharing. Journal of Economic Theory. Public goods in networks with constraints on sharing

Neary P., Lynham, J., (2024). Tiebout sorting in online communities. The annals of Regional Science. https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00168-024-01293-y.pdf

Neary, P., Gutin, G., Yeo, A., (2024). Finding all stable matchings with assignment constraints. Games and Economic Behavior. Finding all stable matchings with assignment constraints

Neary, P., Gutin, G., Karapetyan, D., Vickery, A., Yeo, A., (2024). Speeding up deferred acceptance. Journal of Mechanism and Institution Design, accepted and subject to minor revisions. https://www.arxiv.org/pdf/2409.06865 

Bentall, R. P., Alsuhibani, A., Bennett, K., Braddick, M., Butter, S., Hyland, P., McBride, O., McKay, R., Shevlin, M., Stocks, T. V. A., & Hartman, T. K. (2024) 'The emotional consequences of novel political identities: Brexit and mental health in the United Kingdom', Political Psychology, 45, pp. 133–149. doi.org/10.1111/pops.12923.

Gibson-Miller, J., Zavlis, O., Hartman, T. K., Bennett, K.M., Butter, S., Levita, L., Martinez, Ap. P.,  Mason, L., McBride, O., McKay, R., Murphy, J., Shevlin, M.,  Stocks, T. V. A., & Bentall, R. P. (2024) 'A network approach to understanding social distancing behaviour during the first UK lockdown of the COVID-19 pandemic', Psychology & Health, 39(1), pp. 109-127. doi:10.1080/08870446.2022.2057497.

Bagga P. and Stathis, K. (2023) 'Towards Explainable Strategy Templates using NLP Transformers', XAIFIN2023: Workshop on Explainable AI in Finance. ACM, 27 November. New York: ICAIF. doi/10.48550/arXiv.2311.14061.

Shahid, N.S., O'Keeffe, D., Stathis, K. (2023) 'A Knowledge Representation Framework for Evolutionary Simulations with Cognitive Agents', ICTAI - International Conference on Tools with Artificial Intelligence. IEEE, 6-8 November. Atlanta: IEEE Computer Society. pp. 361–368. doi:10.1109/ICTAI59109.2023.00059.

McKay, R. T., Gervais, W., Davis, C. J. (2023) '‘So Help Me God’? Does oath swearing in courtroom scenarios impact trial outcomes?', British Journal of Psychology, 114, pp. 991–1014. doi:10.1111/bjop.12651.

Levine, D. K., Modica, S. and Sun,J. (2023) 'Twin Peaks: Expressive Externality in Group Participation', Journal of Public Economic Theory, 25(5), pp. 897-929. doi:10.1111/jpet.12654.

Levine, D. K., Mattozzi,A. and Modica, S. (2023) [Forthcoming]. 'The Tripartite Auction Folk Theorem', European Economic Review.

Corrao, R., Fudenberg,D. and Levine,D. K. (2023) [Forthcoming]. 'On Concave Functions over Lotteries', Journal of Mathematical Economics.

Lloyd-Cox, J., Pickering, A. D., Beaty, R. E., & Bhattacharya, J. (2023) 'Toward greater computational modeling in neurocognitive creativity research', Psychology of Aesthetics, Creativity, and the Arts. Advance online publication. doi:10.1037/aca0000627.

Working Papers

Hunter, A., McKay, R., Tappin, B. & Efferson, C. (2025). Socially motivated reasoning: How the partisanship of one's peers affects evaluations of policy-related evidence. Journal of Politics.

Cheso, D., Bjornsdottir, R.T., McKay, R., & Zagefka, H. (2025). The Brief Transprejudice Scale: Development and validation. Group Processes & Intergroup Relations.

Scaramozzino, F., McKay, R. & Furl, N. (2025). Posterior parietal cortex modulates perceptual decisions depending on psychotic phenotype. Neuropsychologia.

McKay, R., Hall, L., Strandberg, T., Vasilichi, A., Gall, A. & Johansson, P. (2025). 'I Once Was Blind': Experimental manipulation of religious attitudes via choice blindness. Religion, Brain & Behavior.

Gaia Giampietro, G., Bjornsdottir, T., McKay R., Mickes, L. & Furl, N. (2025). Caricatured faces in eyewitness lineup tests hurt identification performance. Memory & Cognition. 

Tappin, B. M. & McKa, R. T. (2025). Estimating the casual effects of cognitive effort and policy information on party cue influence. Political Psychology. 

Ambrus, E., Hartig, B., Johansson, P. & McKay. R. (2025). A blind spot for flattery: People are more receptive to enhancing than diminishing manipulations of their personal qualities. 

Hartig, B., McKay, R. & van der Leer, L. (2025). Pleasant surprises and rude awakenings: Solving the betrayal aversion puzzle.

Hoogeveen, S., et al. (2025). Does she still love and feel hungry? Afterlife continuity beliefs and religion across 24 countries. Cognition.

Furl, N., van de Wouw, D. S., Bogowicz, N., Kanda, S., Akhtar, R. & McKay, R. T. (2025). Humans form biased beliefs from samples of evidence in forensic scenarios. JEP: LMC. 

Levine, D. K. [2025]: "Predicting Cooperation with Trembles," Royal Holloway, University of London.

Neary, P., Hwang, S., Newton, J., Sawa, R. (2025). Pairwise imitation and tournaments graphs. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5161849

Mensfelt, A., Franco-Aixela, S., Koutsoukou-Argyraki, S., Tena-Cucala, D., Trencsenyi, V., Stathis, K. (2025). Towards a Common Framework and Understanding of Autoformalization, Royal Holloway, University of London. 

Trencsenyi, V., Mensfelt, A., Stathis, K. (2025). Hypergames: Modelling Misaligned Perceptions and Nested Beliefs for Multi-agent Systems, Royal Holloway, University of London.

Neary, P., Gutin, G., Yeo, A. (2025). Note on the size of a stable matching. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2505.24637

Levine, D. K., C. Martinelli and N. Stoelinga [2024]: "Vote or Fight?," Royal Holloway, University of London.

Levine, D. K. [2024]: "Method of Moments and Maximum Likelihood in the Laboratory," Royal Holloway, University of London.

Mensfelt, A., Stathis, K., & Trencsenyi, V. (2024). Logic-Enhanced Language Model Agents for Trustworthy Social Simulations. arXiv preprint arXiv:2408.16081. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2408.16081

Mandler. M. (2024) The fitness benefit of risky alleles. Royal Holloway College, University of London.

Mandler, M. (2024) Decision-making for extreme outcomes. Royal Holloway College, University of London.

Levine, D. K. (2023) Phoenix From the Ashes: The Evolution of Mechanism Designers. Royal Holloway, University of London. Available at: dklevine.com.

Levine, D. K. (2023) True Myths. Royal Holloway, University of London. Available at: dklevine.com.

Corrao, R., Fudenberg, D. and Levine,D. K. (2023) Adversarial forecasters, surprises and randomization. Royal Holloway, University of London. Available at: economics.mit.edu.

Levine, D. K. and Ohanian,L. (2023) When is Appeasement a Sign of Strength?. Royal Holloway, University of London. Available at: dklevine.com.

Levine, D. K., Modica, S. and Rustichini,A. (2023) Cooperating Through Leaders. Royal Holloway, University of London. Available at: dklevine.com.

Levine, D. K. (2023) Efficiently Breaking the Folk Theorem by Reliably Communicating Long Term Commitments. Royal Holloway, University of London. Available at: repec.org.

Neary, P., Deligkas, A., Eiben, E., Gutin, G., Yeo, A. (2023) Some coordination problems are harder than others. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2311.03195

Neary, P. Lim, W., Sobel, J. (2023). Getting permission: experimental evidence. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5028171