Posted on 17/12/2013
Head of Department Mike Spagat along with other academics recently had a paper published in 'Nature Scientific Reports'
The paper suggests that a mathematical equation can predict conflicts ranging from crying babies to global terrorism.
Spagat along with others looked at a number of publically available datasets on asymmetrical conflicts such as the war in Iraq, Afghanistan and Colombia. They found that the ‘Power Laws’ where a relative change in one quantity gives rise to proportional relative change in the other applied to most of these datasets. Other researchers then included different data sets such as hacking, sexual assaults, strikes and babies crying, and found that this equation fit the distribution.
This journal article is listed as one of the seven article to read over the weekend (21/12/13) on the CNN site.
You can read more on the article here and you can read the full jouranl article by clicking here.